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Markets & Economy » There is No Alternative
September 12, 2019 | Market Commentary
2019 has been a strong year for the stock market. US equities are trading near all-time highs, with healthy year-to-date gains both at home and abroad. At the same time that stock markets are hitting new highs, interest rates have been falling to new lows. After starting the year at 2.69%, the …
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All AudiencesLibrary » Webinar: Four Big Questions Facing Investors in 2019
January 23, 2019 | Market Commentary
2018 was far more volatile than recent years, and after the nearly decade-long run, we are starting to see warning signs in the economic, stock, and bond market cycles. Several key risks got worse as the year went on, and many remain unresolved.
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Library » Semi-Annual Outlook: Sorting Through the Warning Signs
January 03, 2019 | Investment Themes
2018 was far more volatile than recent years, and we still see several key risks facing markets that are unresolved today. In our newest Semi-Annual Outlook, we lay out our concerns for financial markets and provide our perspective on what to expect in 2019.
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All AudiencesLibrary » January 2019 Perspective
January 02, 2019 | Market Commentary
The past month was challenging for many investors. US financial markets experienced their most significant bouts of volatility since the Global Financial Crisis. US stocks closed the month lower, culminating a weak fourth quarter, with equities falling from all-time highs in late September to …
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All AudiencesLibrary » October 2018 Perspective
October 01, 2018 | Market Commentary
Rising Risks Demand Change US stocks remained near all-time highs during September as the market shrugged off rising global risks that continued to escalate. Worsening threats to financial markets include a full-blown trade war developing, China slowing more than expected, and political …
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All AudiencesMarkets & Economy » Fiscal Misspending?
June 28, 2018 | Market Commentary
Gradual economic progress since the financial crisis has eventually brought the US to more firm footing. Labor markets have strengthened, capital spending and business investment are more robust, overall economic activity has improved, and inflationary pressures are building. Concurrently, the …
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All AudiencesLibrary » May 2018 Perspective
May 02, 2018 | Market Commentary
Treasury Yields Hit Four-Year High The 10-Year US Treasury yield rose above 3% in April for the first time since the so-called ‘Taper Tantrum’ of 2013. The measure is a key benchmark influencing borrowing costs throughout the economy and has brought rising rate concerns to the forefront of …
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All AudiencesLibrary » First Quarter 2018 International Perspective
April 24, 2018 | Market Commentary
Quarterly Market Review Following last year’s relative tranquility, global equity market volatility picked up during the first quarter of 2018. Market gyrations first materialized in early February, driven by an increase in reported wages for US workers that came in well above consensus …
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All AudiencesLibrary » April 2018 Perspective
April 04, 2018 | Market Commentary
Market Volatility Remains Elevated US equities suffered their worst week in more than two years last month on concerns that increasingly restrictive trade policies may disrupt global growth. Although US stocks recouped some of those losses the following Monday, the market gyrations on the heels …
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All AudiencesMarkets & Economy » Inflation Worries Are Picking Up
March 19, 2018 | Market Commentary
The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day policy meeting begins tomorrow, March 20, and investors are assigning a high probability that policymakers will hike interest rates by 25 basis points. With respect to the inflation outlook, the magnitude and frequency of changes to the Fed funds rate …
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