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Library » October 2018 Perspective

October 01, 2018 | Market Commentary

Rising Risks Demand Change US stocks remained near all-time highs during September as the market shrugged off rising global risks that continued to escalate. Worsening threats to financial markets include a full-blown trade war developing, China slowing more than expected, and political …

Library » May 2018 Perspective

May 02, 2018 | Market Commentary

Treasury Yields Hit Four-Year High The 10-Year US Treasury yield rose above 3% in April for the first time since the so-called ‘Taper Tantrum’ of 2013. The measure is a key benchmark influencing borrowing costs throughout the economy and has brought rising rate concerns to the forefront of …

Library » First Quarter 2018 International Perspective

April 24, 2018 | Market Commentary

Quarterly Market Review Following last year’s relative tranquility, global equity market volatility picked up during the first quarter of 2018. Market gyrations first materialized in early February, driven by an increase in reported wages for US workers that came in well above consensus …

Library » April 2018 Perspective

April 04, 2018 | Market Commentary

Market Volatility Remains Elevated US equities suffered their worst week in more than two years last month on concerns that increasingly restrictive trade policies may disrupt global growth. Although US stocks recouped some of those losses the following Monday, the market gyrations on the heels …

Markets & Economy » Escalating Risks of Protectionism and Tariffs

March 22, 2018 | Market Commentary

In a recent post, we discussed some of the sector implications that could result from recently enacted steel and aluminum tariffs. Here, we explore the potential second-order effects that a protectionist trade policy can have—both on the US, and on the broader global economy. For the first …

Markets & Economy » Inflation Worries Are Picking Up

March 19, 2018 | Market Commentary

The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day policy meeting begins tomorrow, March 20, and investors are assigning a high probability that policymakers will hike interest rates by 25 basis points. With respect to the inflation outlook, the magnitude and frequency of changes to the Fed funds rate …

Library » March 2018 Perspective

March 02, 2018 | Market Commentary

Equity Volatility Returns The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered two declines of over 1000 points in early February as inflation fears led to a spike in market volatility. This marked the first correction (a decline of at least 10% from a recent high) for US equities in over two years. While …

Markets & Economy » What Happened and What’s Next for Fixed Income

February 13, 2018 | Market Commentary

Looking Back: An Era of “Goldilocks” The past year brought cheer across the financial markets. The world saw synchronized global growth and soft inflation readings, and with the exception of recent market gyrations, volatility persisted near historically low levels. Nothing was “too hot or too …

Markets & Economy » Volatility Awakens

February 06, 2018 | Market Commentary

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gave up more than 1,100 points yesterday in its largest one-day point decline on record. The S&P 500 dropped 4.1% for the day, and the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index more than doubled. The downward move in equities began early last week, and the selloff …


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