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June 28, 2018 | Domestic Markets
Gradual economic progress since the financial crisis has eventually brought the US to more firm footing. Labor markets have strengthened, capital spending and business investment are more robust, overall economic activity has improved, and inflationary pressures are building. Concurrently, the …
May 02, 2018 | Market Commentary
Treasury Yields Hit Four-Year High The 10-Year US Treasury yield rose above 3% in April for the first time since the so-called ‘Taper Tantrum’ of 2013. The measure is a key benchmark influencing borrowing costs throughout the economy and has brought rising rate concerns to the forefront of …
April 24, 2018 | International Markets
Quarterly Market Review Following last year’s relative tranquility, global equity market volatility picked up during the first quarter of 2018. Market gyrations first materialized in early February, driven by an increase in reported wages for US workers that came in well above consensus …
April 04, 2018 | Market Commentary
Market Volatility Remains Elevated US equities suffered their worst week in more than two years last month on concerns that increasingly restrictive trade policies may disrupt global growth. Although US stocks recouped some of those losses the following Monday, the market gyrations on the heels …
March 22, 2018 | Market Commentary
In a recent post, we discussed some of the sector implications that could result from recently enacted steel and aluminum tariffs. Here, we explore the potential second-order effects that a protectionist trade policy can have—both on the US, and on the broader global economy. For the first …
March 19, 2018 | Market Commentary
The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day policy meeting begins tomorrow, March 20, and investors are assigning a high probability that policymakers will hike interest rates by 25 basis points. With respect to the inflation outlook, the magnitude and frequency of changes to the Fed funds rate …
March 02, 2018 | Market Commentary
Equity Volatility Returns The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered two declines of over 1000 points in early February as inflation fears led to a spike in market volatility. This marked the first correction (a decline of at least 10% from a recent high) for US equities in over two years. While …
February 13, 2018 | Market Commentary
Looking Back: An Era of “Goldilocks” The past year brought cheer across the financial markets. The world saw synchronized global growth and soft inflation readings, and with the exception of recent market gyrations, volatility persisted near historically low levels. Nothing was “too hot or too …
February 06, 2018 | Market Commentary
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gave up more than 1,100 points yesterday in its largest one-day point decline on record. The S&P 500 dropped 4.1% for the day, and the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index more than doubled. The downward move in equities began early last week, and the selloff …
January 25, 2018 | International Markets
Quarterly Market Review Global equity markets ended 2017 on a strong note, up nearly 6% for the fourth quarter and 24% for the year. Performance was broadly positive, with both developed and emerging markets turning in strong double-digit returns for the 12-month period. Emerging market equities …
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