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Markets & Economy » The U.S. Consumer: A Potential Bright Spot

October 12, 2016 | Market Commentary

In the years following the global financial crisis, the American consumer was faced with a particularly challenging economic environment. The unemployment rate climbed from just under 4.5% in 2007 to 10% only two years later as millions of workers suddenly found themselves out of a job. The …

Vantage » Research Note - October 2016

October 04, 2016 | Market Commentary

Slow growth and volatility have been the status quo throughout most of the current expansion. Our indicators suggest these features are likely to remain in place for now, but it is still important to consider what could threaten this outlook. Expectations for low growth can prove incorrect not …

Library » Economic Cycle Update

November 29, 2013 | Domestic Markets

Since the earliest days of the current recovery, we have been making the case for a slow/below-trend economic growth rate for the U.S. economy. We reasoned that the growth rate would be necessarily slow as the consumer would need years to recover from the post-housing bubble hangover. Furthermore …


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