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Library » May 2016 Perspective

May 05, 2016 | Market Commentary

The advance estimate of first quarter 2016 real GDP came in at a 0.5% seasonally-adjusted annual rate. A decline in business spending was the primary drag on the economy, as nonresidential fixed investment detracted from the overall growth rate.

Library » March 2016 Perspective

March 07, 2016 | Market Commentary

A revised estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) showed the economy expanded at a 1.0% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, up from an initial estimate of 0.7% growth. A change to inventories accounted for nearly all of the upward revision.

Markets & Economy » Inflation is Not Dead: What to Expect in 2016

January 11, 2016 | Fixed Income

Years of disinflation coupled with very low market expectations for future inflation have lulled many investors into a false sense of security that inflation can’t happen in the U.S. Indeed, deflationary forces have recently been keeping a lid on inflation, including: A strong USD, which …

Library » December 2015 Perspective

December 03, 2015 | Market Commentary

Global equity markets were essentially flat in November following strong returns during October. Valuations in the broad U.S. stock market remain generally elevated, but we continue to see little evidence of excesses in the market or economy that would need to be unwound. In this environment, …

Vantage » The U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance: Weathering the Storm

November 23, 2015 | Domestic Markets

We first explored the U.S. manufacturing renaissance in 2012, when our perspective was that a resurgence of domestic manufacturing activity would be a silver lining—not a silver bullet—for U.S. economic growth. This assessment has proved to be correct over the past three years, and we believe …

Library » October 2015 Perspective

October 07, 2015 | Market Commentary

Following their two day meeting in mid-September, members of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided not to adjust the federal funds policy interest rate. The rate will remain within the current 0% to 0.25% range, where it has been since December 2008.


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