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Library » February 2018 Perspective

February 08, 2018 | Market Commentary

The U.S. Economy US stocks began 2018 right where they left off, marching steadily higher. The synchronized global expansion persisted into the New Year, aiding US economic growth and supporting equity prices. Rising corporate earnings, tax reform, and elevated investor sentiment have each also …

Library » August 2017 Perspective

August 08, 2017 | Market Commentary

After surging to overly optimistic levels following the U.S. presidential election, business and consumer confidence now appear to be normalizing after generating no major shift to the economic trajectory of the U.S.

Library » Fourth Quarter 2016 International Perspective

January 24, 2017 | International Markets

Quarterly Market Review Global equity markets shook off an October decline and finished the fourth quarter markedly higher on the heels of Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential election. Expectations for policies that could lead to greater economic growth, including tax reform, increased …

Library » May 2016 Perspective

May 05, 2016 | Market Commentary

The advance estimate of first quarter 2016 real GDP came in at a 0.5% seasonally-adjusted annual rate. A decline in business spending was the primary drag on the economy, as nonresidential fixed investment detracted from the overall growth rate.

Markets & Economy » Inflation is Not Dead: What to Expect in 2016

January 11, 2016 | Fixed Income

Years of disinflation coupled with very low market expectations for future inflation have lulled many investors into a false sense of security that inflation can’t happen in the U.S. Indeed, deflationary forces have recently been keeping a lid on inflation, including: A strong USD, which …

Markets & Economy » Three Big Market Moves Drive Volatility Higher

February 27, 2015 | Market Commentary

Three big moves in major financial markets during recent quarters should give investors reason to anticipate heightened volatility going forward, namely significant increases in the value of the U.S. dollar and Swiss franc, as well as a major selloff in crude oil. The dollar, franc, and oil are …

Vantage » Revisiting the Case for Slow Growth in the United States

November 18, 2014 | Domestic Markets

The U.S. Dollar has rallied sharply since July, particularly relative to the Euro and Yen, igniting a debate as to whether the pace of U.S. economic growth will slow from here. Today, uncertainty seems to be returning, both in the U.S. and globally, with headlines focusing on geopolitical threats, …

Markets & Economy » The Ascent of the U.S. Dollar

November 17, 2014 | Domestic Markets

During recent months, the value of the U.S. dollar experienced a fairly swift and significant ascent relative to many other major global currencies. We attribute the bulk of the move to shifting expectations regarding the timing of an eventual divergence in U.S. monetary policy from the rest of …


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