Research Note: A Closer Look at Wage Growth

October 31, 2017 | Market Commentary

October marks the eight-year anniversary of the first and only month since the early 1980s that headline unemployment reached 10% in the United States. A lot has changed in the intervening eight years.

Research Note: Watching for Late Cycle Warning Signs

August 15, 2017 | Market Commentary

Our top-down commentary over the past several quarters has consistently maintained the view that while the economy has moved later cycle, there are few observable extremes that suggest a major recession or bear market is imminent.

Country in Focus: India

June 27, 2017 | Market Commentary

India is one of our most preferred countries from a top-down macroeconomic standpoint, not only within the emerging market universe, but within the entire global investment landscape.

Country In Focus: France

May 10, 2017 | Market Commentary

France has been in the news recently due to its contentious presidential election. Our newest Country in Focus goes beyond the headlines to examine the world’s sixth largest economy.

Research Note - April 2017

April 21, 2017 | Market Commentary

Sentiment has improved in recent months, but actual economic growth has not kept up. At what point should you consider portfolio adjustments? We discuss hard data vs. soft data in our Research Note.

Research Note - March 2017

March 03, 2017 | Market Commentary

Since the surprising results of the U.S. presidential election in November, the equity markets (especially those in the U.S.) have generally marched steadily upward. In fact, through mid-February, almost all major global equity indices have generated positive returns year-to-date.

Country In Focus: Japan

January 09, 2017 | Market Commentary

Japan seems to have fallen off the financial media radar of late, so perhaps it is a good time to check in with the world’s third largest economy. Even as the political calendar continues to heat up with the recent U.S. election which now shifts...

Research Note - December 2016

December 22, 2016 | Market Commentary

Does the election of Donald Trump plus a Republican majority in the House and Senate equal a change in our economic overview? We look beyond the splashy headlines to contemplate this question in our new Research Note.