Country in Focus: India

June 27, 2017 | Market Commentary

India is one of our most preferred countries from a top-down macroeconomic standpoint, not only within the emerging market universe, but within the entire global investment landscape.

Country In Focus: France

May 10, 2017 | Market Commentary

France has been in the news recently due to its contentious presidential election. Our newest Country in Focus goes beyond the headlines to examine the world’s sixth largest economy.

Research Note - April 2017

April 21, 2017 | Market Commentary

Sentiment has improved in recent months, but actual economic growth has not kept up. At what point should you consider portfolio adjustments? We discuss hard data vs. soft data in our Research Note.

Research Note - March 2017

March 03, 2017 | Market Commentary

Since the surprising results of the U.S. presidential election in November, the equity markets (especially those in the U.S.) have generally marched steadily upward. In fact, through mid-February, almost all major global equity indices have generated positive returns year-to-date.

Country In Focus: Japan

January 09, 2017 | Market Commentary

Japan seems to have fallen off the financial media radar of late, so perhaps it is a good time to check in with the world’s third largest economy. Even as the political calendar continues to heat up with the recent U.S. election which now shifts...

Research Note - December 2016

December 22, 2016 | Market Commentary

Does the election of Donald Trump plus a Republican majority in the House and Senate equal a change in our economic overview? We look beyond the splashy headlines to contemplate this question in our new Research Note.

Country in Focus: Canada

November 03, 2016 | International Markets

With the U.S. presidential election upon us, one probably does not need to search too hard for pledges by friends or family to move to Canada depending on the outcome. Regardless of the credibility of these threats, our latest Country In Focus post takes deep look at the investment environment north of the border.

Research Note - October 2016

October 04, 2016 | Market Commentary

Slow growth and volatility have been the status quo throughout most of the current expansion. Our indicators suggest these features are likely to remain in place for now, but it is still important to consider what could threaten this outlook.

Country in Focus: Brazil

October 03, 2016 | Emerging Markets

Brazil’s natural advantages are clear — a young and expanding population, a growing middle class, abundant fertile land, a modern agricultural industry, a plethora of natural resources, and beautiful beaches that are tourist magnets.

Country in Focus: Indonesia

August 31, 2016 | Emerging Markets

Emerging markets tend to intrigue investors and policymakers alike, if for no other reason than they are typically quite dynamic economically and politically. For investors, the changing landscape can represent a plethora of opportunities to sniff out sustainable trends early and profit from what are often dramatic swings in market expectations.

Research Note - September 2016

August 29, 2016 | Market Commentary

Once again equity markets have demonstrated their ability to bounce back from a flare up in volatility. The market shock from the unexpected victory for the “Leave” camp in the United Kingdom’s referendum on membership in the European Union has faded, and the VIX is once again near multi-year lows.

Country in Focus: European Union

August 15, 2016 | International Markets

There has been an enormous amount of ink and intellectual capital deployed in recent weeks in the wake of the United Kingdom's (UK) historic referendum decision to leave the European Union (EU).

Research Note - August 2016

August 10, 2016 | Market Commentary

A recurring topic in our Research Notes in 2016 has been the importance of being prepared for market volatility against a backdrop of slow economic growth and relatively full valuations.

Checking in on the Consumer

June 30, 2016 | Active Management

The U.S. consumer is widely known to be the major contributor to domestic economic activity. In fact, the American consumer’s share of the U.S. economy (over 68%) ranks among the highest in the world.

Country in Focus: Argentina

June 13, 2016 | Emerging Markets

Argentina is a country with plentiful natural resources, a well-educated labor force, and some of the highest income levels in Latin America. It has a rich, diverse culture and heritage, as well as a very turbulent past. Argentina’s story essentially centers on the questions of ‘what’ and ‘why.’ The former is less contentious, while the latter remains quite vexing.

Research Note - March 2016

April 15, 2016 | Market Commentary

The performance of the S&P 500 in the first quarter of 2016 was ordinary and rather extraordinary at the same time. This proxy for U.S. large-cap stocks closed the quarter up 0.77% (exclusive of dividends), which is a little light in terms of the historical average return but well within historical norms. This is only part of the story, however.

Country in Focus: Italy

April 06, 2016 | Emerging Markets

Italy is the third largest economy in the eurozone. It is the second most visited country in Europe, and has become a pillar of modern design for everything from high-fashion clothing to luxury sports cars. With its famous culture, architecture, and palatial landscapes on one hand, and its state-of-the-art, high-end auto industry on the other, Italy often represents an intersection of old and new.

Research Note: February 2016

March 11, 2016 | Market Commentary

Volatility can provide opportunities for investors to add value through active management. Embracing volatility is inherently uncomfortable, because it forces you to step in when the crowd is running for the exits or to walk away when the crowd is still piling in. In Ralph Waldo Emerson’s words, “People wish to be settled; only as far as they are unsettled is there any hope for them.”

Country in Focus: China

February 26, 2016 | Emerging Markets

As long-term investors, we aim to see the big picture globally and keep our focus on the structural characteristics that should affect a country over time. China remains one of the countries where we see scope for continued outperformance in terms of economic growth, as well as a destination for many profitable investment opportunities.

Research Note: January 2016

February 09, 2016 | Market Commentary

2016 has made quite an entrance so far with the S&P 500 experiencing the worst beginning to a calendar year (through the first 10 trading days of the year) in history. The financial press has attributed the recent volatility to a variety of suspects, including concerns about Chinese economic growth, falling oil prices, fears of a U.S. recession, and the possibility of a policy mistake by the U.S. Federal Reserve.